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AI Snake Oil

20 stories

AI agents can't yet do open-ended AI research

AI Snake OilVoicesAI agents can't yet do open-ended AI research Early evidence from two case studies

August 5
What will be left for us to work on?

AI Snake OilVoicesWhat will be left for us to work on? My keynote at ICML 2026

July 13
Up the Stack: How AI’s Escape From the Commodity Trap Risks Enterprise Lock-in

AI Snake OilVoicesUp the Stack: How AI’s Escape From the Commodity Trap Risks Enterprise Lock-in Critics and boosters are both looking in the wrong place

July 9
Why AI hasn’t replaced software engineers, and won’t

AI Snake OilVoicesWhy AI hasn’t replaced software engineers, and won’t Coding agents as normal technology

June 11
Did Google’s AI agents really build an operating system for $916?

AI Snake OilVoicesDid Google’s AI agents really build an operating system for $916? The importance of independent evaluation

May 22
Do AI Risks Require Extraordinary Government Intervention?

AI Snake OilVoicesDo AI Risks Require Extraordinary Government Intervention? Let’s not skip the hard work of AI governance

May 21
Open-world evaluations for measuring frontier AI capabilities

AI Snake OilVoicesOpen-world evaluations for measuring frontier AI capabilities Introducing CRUX, a new project for evaluating AI on long, messy tasks

April 16
New Paper: Towards a science of AI agent reliability

AI Snake OilVoicesNew Paper: Towards a science of AI agent reliability Quantifying the capability-reliability gap

February 24
AI Won’t Automatically Make Legal Services Cheaper

AI Snake OilVoicesAI Won’t Automatically Make Legal Services Cheaper Applying the AI as Normal Technology framework to legal services

February 12
Fact checking Moravec's paradox

AI Snake OilVoicesFact checking Moravec's paradox This famous aphorism is neither true nor useful

January 29
A guide to understanding AI as normal technology

AI Snake OilVoicesA guide to understanding AI as normal technology And a big change for this newsletter

September 9
Could AI slow science?

AI Snake OilVoicesCould AI slow science? Confronting the production-progress paradox

July 16
AGI is not a milestone

AI Snake OilVoicesAGI is not a milestone There is no capability threshold that will lead to sudden impacts

May 1
AI as Normal Technology

AI Snake OilVoicesAI as Normal Technology A new paper that we will expand into our next book

April 15
Is AI progress slowing down?

AI Snake OilVoicesIs AI progress slowing down? Making sense of recent technology trends and claims

December 18
We Looked at 78 Election Deepfakes. Political Misinformation is not an AI Problem.

AI Snake OilVoicesWe Looked at 78 Election Deepfakes. Political Misinformation is not an AI Problem. Technology Isn’t the Problem—or the Solution.

December 13
Does the UK’s liver transplant matching algorithm systematically exclude younger patients?

AI Snake OilVoicesDoes the UK’s liver transplant matching algorithm systematically exclude younger patients? Seemingly minor technical decisions can have life-or-death effects

November 11
FAQ about the book and our writing process

AI Snake OilVoicesFAQ about the book and our writing process What's in the book and how we wrote it

October 4
Can AI automate computational reproducibility?

AI Snake OilVoicesCan AI automate computational reproducibility? A new benchmark to measure the impact of AI on improving science

September 18
Start reading the AI Snake Oil book online

AI Snake OilVoicesStart reading the AI Snake Oil book online The book was published September 2024

September 10